Malaysia’s Central Bank Lowers 2025 GDP Forecast Amid Global Tensions

Bank Negara Malaysia has revised its 2025 GDP growth forecast to 4.0–4.8%, citing uncertainty from US trade policies.

This adjustment signals potential economic turbulence, impacting Malaysia’s export sector and possibly influencing investor sentiment towards global markets.

Malaysia’s central bank, Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM), revised its GDP growth forecast for 2025. The projection is now lowered to 4.0–4.8%, down from 4.5–5.5%, due to global economic uncertainties and the impact of US trade policies.

Bank Negara Malaysia, under the leadership of Governor Dato’ Sri Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour, initiated these changes. The bank responded to ongoing US trade policy and tariff actions, expecting mixed outcomes for the future.

“The Malaysian economy remains resilient despite global uncertainties, supported by the outcome of structural reforms undertaken over the years. The sustained strength in economic activity and moderate inflation provides a supportive environment to pursue structural reforms for a more resilient and competitive Malaysia in the future.” – Dato’ Sri Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour, Governor, Bank Negara Malaysia

The announcement impacts various sectors, especially those reliant on export activities. Malaysia’s export-oriented economy could face challenges due to shifting global trade dynamics and systemic uncertainties.

Malaysia’s revised GDP forecast highlights potential financial adjustments. Domestic resilience and structural reforms are the core focus, emphasizing the economy’s capability to grow amid global tensions.

Past events have seen similar GDP growth downgrades during elevated US tariff cycles. The central bank’s proactive stance in pursuing structural reforms aims to shield the economy from potential fallout.

Under current conditions, Malaysia’s economic policies are directed towards ensuring stability. While cryptocurrencies remain unaffected directly, global shifts in trade policy can influence broader market sentiment.