Bitcoin Price Steady Amid Fed, Oil Market Dynamics

Bitcoin’s price remains stable at approximately 104,980 USDT as of June 15, 2025, despite a 5% oil price surge and rising geopolitical tensions ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting this week.

Global liquidity trends are the primary influence on Bitcoin’s stability, outweighing geopolitical events or oil price shocks, as noted by macro investor Raoul Pal.

Market Reactions and Predictions

Oil prices surged over $4 driven by geopolitical risks, but Bitcoin’s response remained muted. Raoul Pal stated that global liquidity trends, with an 89% correlation, significantly impact Bitcoin more than geopolitical events. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s upcoming remarks are highly anticipated, influencing risk asset markets. The absence of an expected rate cut at the Federal Open Market Committee meeting aligns with previous patterns of Bitcoin responding more to liquidity conditions. As Raoul Pal, Macro Investor, Real Vision CEO, commented, “The primary driver behind Bitcoin’s price movements is not political instability but rather global liquidity trends.”

The rising institutional interest in Ethereum is sustaining its price, yet market attention remains on Bitcoin’s response to macroeconomic signals. Experts highlight Bitcoin’s long-term stability being more affected by monetary policy changes than by geopolitical instabilities. Historical data supports this as Bitcoin shows resilience in similar past scenarios, underscoring liquidity rather than shocks as a market driver. Regulatory observations, including the Ripple/SEC discussions, are ongoing, yet these do not currently impact Bitcoin prices significantly. Despite concerns about centralization, the strong liquidity correlation suggests ongoing confidence in Bitcoin’s macroeconomic responses.