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Deutsche Bank Warns of US Capital War Risk

Solomon M. by Solomon M.
June 1, 2025
in Latest News
Key Takeaways:
  • Deutsche Bank warns of US capital war risks.
  • Foreign yields reduced, affecting investments.
  • Potential impact on global financial sentiment.
deutsche-bank-warns-of-us-capital-war-risks
Deutsche Bank Warns of US Capital War Risks

Deutsche Bank’s Head of FX Research, George Saravelos, warned that the proposed US “revenge tax” could escalate trade tensions into a capital war.

The proposed US “revenge tax” could significantly alter capital flows, impacting foreign confidence and possibly increasing market volatility.

The proposed “revenge tax” by the Trump administration could transform a trade war into a capital war. According to George Saravelos of Deutsche Bank, the tax’s introduction could impact foreign investors’ after-tax yields. Foreign institutions may view the tax as discriminatory, affecting capital flow into US Treasury securities. Reduced yields may trigger a withdrawal of foreign investments in US assets.

The proposed tax (Section 899) could significantly reduce the after-tax yield for foreign investors in US assets, slashing effective yields by close to 100 basis points.

Foreign investor confidence might decline, affecting risk assets like BTC and ETH, though no direct chain reactions have been seen. Market confidence could further wane. Historical data suggests that when trade policies limit foreign investment, risk-off sentiments tend to rise.

George Saravelos highlights the potential for significant financial shifts, with capital withdrawn from the US, impacting yields. Cryptocurrencies, often seen as alternative value stores, may become more appealing to investors during fiscal tensions. The reaction of global markets to legislative changes warrants close monitoring.

Disclaimer:

The content on The CCPress is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry inherent risks. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

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